- Kerry holds a commanding lead in the battleground states, according to post-debate polling.
- Undecideds break heavily for the challenger, especially in Presidential Elections. This will only serve to further increase Kerry's lead in the battleground states.
- According to Real Clear Politics, which regularly fishes for pro-Bush polls, Bush is under 47.5 in states worth 277 electoral votes. It will be very difficult for him to win any of these states, including Ohio where he rarely travels anymore. He is under 49 in states worth 316 electoral votes, and over 50 in states worth only 202 electoral votes.
- According to the most recent polls from the fifteen polling firms that have conducted polls entirely after the third debate, Bush is only at 47.3% simple mean to Kerry's 45.9% simple mean. The median is Bush 47, Kerry 46. In the history of Presidential elections since there was public polling, no incumbent has amassed a large enough percentage of undecideds to hold on to such a small lead.
Bowers also gives a rundown of the proven and documented incidents of Republican efforts at voter suppression and outright fraud:
- GOP-funded company caught shredding Dem registrations and lying to potential voters in a half-dozen states.
- Minority and elderly absentee voters fooled into relinquishing their ballots.
- College students nationwide tricked into changing their political registration and polling places.
- Elderly Ohio voters wrongly informed that their polling places have been changed.
- Minnesota voters told it's too late to register, even though the state allows voter registration all the way up to election day.
- Disgraced South Dakota dirty trickster Larry Russell brought on board by the GOP to bring his special brand of voter fraud to Ohio.
- The most aggressive voter-intimidation campaign waged by the GOP since the Civil Rights era. (Including massive pre-emptive voter registration challenges designed solely to gum up the works and make it more difficult to vote.)
MyDD has all the links.
George W. Bush: Touting Democracy Around the World; Cutting it Off at the Knees Here at Home.
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